Above is a chart of all the right picks each draft had, excluding the top three who everyone except SB Nation was right on. The Ringer’s mock was impressive for their ability to pick players in the right draft slot, especially outside of the top four picks. Every other draft had at least four players off by more than 10 picks, which shows how impressive it was for them to only have one. Besides that, every pick they had was within eight picks of the actual draft position. Bleacher Reports biggest miss was predicting Robert Williams out of Texas A&M to go 14 picks higher than he did, but every mock overvalued him by at least 10 picks. They were also the only one besides the Ringer to include Anfernee Simons in the first round. Of their three first round misses, the latest any were drafted was the 35th pick. They were the only mock to not include Ohio State’s Keita Bates-Diop (the 48th pick) and the only one besides SB Nation to not include Southern California’s De’Anthony Melton (the 46th pick) in the first round. B/Rīleacher Report had the best all-around mock draft when it came to consistency. Landry Shamet (26th pick) and Omari Spellman (30th pick) were completely omitted from all mock drafts that were used. Okobo was picked 31st, the first pick in the second round, so the drafts didn’t miss by much. One player that every mock draft included in their first round was Elie Okobo out of France. All the mock drafts picked the top three correct, except for SB Nation who flipped Marvin Bagley and Luka Doncic. The results of the draft can be found here. Although the Ringer had the most correct picks, Bleacher Report only missed three players picked in the first round and were wrong by the smallest margin on average. Below is a table of the number of picks that were exactly correct, the number of players they said would be first round picks that were, and the average amount they were off per pick.īased on these results, the Ringer and Bleacher Report appear to have the most accurate mock drafts. The six free mock drafts used came from Bleacher Report, the Ringer, USA Today, SB Nation, Sports Illustrated, and CBS Sports. With the NBA Draft recently happening, I wanted to look at the accuracy of the drafts the public is most likely to look at, i.e., the ones without paywalls. As a fan, it is hard to miss the NFL or NBA draft season when you are constantly being flooded by versions of mock drafts ranging from the inaugural “NBA Mock Draft 1.0” to the final “NBA Mock Draft 7.8.” These mock drafts get massive pageviews as fanbases are yearning to see who the experts think their team will add, but rarely are correct on any picks, apart from the first few. A lot of this is due to the stronger followings in college football and basketball compared to baseball or hockey, which leads to a greater familiarity of the players who are being drafted. While free agency is followed closely in all major sports, the NFL and NBA do a much better job of promoting and generating interest in their drafts than the MLB or NHL. When the offseason of any professional sport commences, there are two major events that keep the fan’s interest: free agency and the draft.
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